Steggall slightly increases her majority in Warringah

9 May 2025

Zali Steggall has retained the federal seat of Warringah with a slightly improved majority.

According to Australian Electoral Commission figures, Steggall recorded 61.12% of the two-candidate-preferred vote, defeating Liberal candidate Jaimee Rogers by more than 22,000 votes—a swing of 0.59% in her favour. She also lifted her primary vote to 40.30%, up nearly 8 percentage points on 2022, while the Liberal primary declined to 32.22%.

An analysis of polling place results shows Steggall’s strongest support came from traditional independent and progressive strongholds across the electorate’s eastern and Lower North Shore sections. She polled best  in Manly (70.22%), Manly West (68.96%), North Sydney (68.30%), Waverton (69.95%), Crows Nest (67.44%) and Fairlight (67.92%).

Crows Nest South and Cammeray South also delivered significant margins, with Steggall polling 67.32% and 69.21% respectively. Swing figures in these booths were also substantial, with a 13.82% swing to Steggall in Cammeray South and 12.66% in Crows Nest compared to Kylea Tink last time.

She maintained clear majorities in all Brookvale booths, Curl Curl, Freshwater and North Balgowlah—areas where she consolidated support among environmentally and locally focused voters.

Conversely, Rogers’ best results came in Mosman Bay (45.32%), Mosman PPVC (47.01%), and Beauty Point (43.17%), areas traditionally more aligned with the Liberal Party. Notably, Labor outpolled the Liberals in a number of booths such as Crows Nest and Waverton.

The postal vote was closer than in previous elections, with Steggall narrowly ahead at 51.80%, suggesting she managed to counter a typical advantage for major parties in the pre-poll and postal channels.

With all ordinary votes counted and only a small number of declaration votes outstanding, Steggall’s final margin is expected to hold above 60% two-candidate-preferred